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Sharper: A Guide to Modern Sports Betting

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Sharper: A Guide to Modern Sports Betting

As the title suggests, the focus of this book is betting. While many books focus on handicapping (using statistics and information to assign probabilities of different outcomes), a majority of this book is about trading. A lot of new information is covered here that I have never seen in other published books. When is a line movement sharp? When can you jump in front of a line movement and expect it to be +EV? There is a lot of analysis on types of movement, what it means, and how to exploit it. There is also good discussion on fundamentals — push rates for events, EV, why winning percentage in a vacuum is meaningless.

One other interesting bit near the end is making objective adjustments based on injuries.This is a core skill that can offer value even if you did not handicap the game. The examples he used started with Madden Football player ratings as a baseline, and is a very reasonable approach.

My only criticism is that the book is disorganized. While the book is divided into roughly 30 chapters, many parts of it read like a stream of consciousness.

I gave the book 5 stars because no other book I have read addresses the nuts and bolts of trading, this book did a thorough job on this topic, and this was a 0.99 title. With more editing and organization, this could be a 5-star full priced title.

Description

Sharper: A Guide to Modern Sports Betting

As the title suggests, the focus of this book is betting. While many books focus on handicapping (using statistics and information to assign probabilities of different outcomes), a majority of this book is about trading. A lot of new information is covered here that I have never seen in other published books. When is a line movement sharp? When can you jump in front of a line movement and expect it to be +EV? There is a lot of analysis on types of movement, what it means, and how to exploit it. There is also good discussion on fundamentals — push rates for events, EV, why winning percentage in a vacuum is meaningless.

One other interesting bit near the end is making objective adjustments based on injuries.This is a core skill that can offer value even if you did not handicap the game. The examples he used started with Madden Football player ratings as a baseline, and is a very reasonable approach.

My only criticism is that the book is disorganized. While the book is divided into roughly 30 chapters, many parts of it read like a stream of consciousness.

I gave the book 5 stars because no other book I have read addresses the nuts and bolts of trading, this book did a thorough job on this topic, and this was a 0.99 title. With more editing and organization, this could be a 5-star full priced title.

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